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Prediction for CME (2014-01-07T18:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-01-07T18:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/4353/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-01-09T19:32Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-01-10T04:04Z (-16.0h, +36.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 8.0 - 8.0
Predicted Dst min. in nT: -300
Prediction Method: COMESEP
Prediction Method Note:

COMESEP alert system (comesep.eu/alert/, EU FP7 Project COMESEP (263252)):
The halo or partial-halo CME detected on 07-01-2014 at 18:36 UT by CACTUS is foreseen to reach 1 AU on 10-01-2014 at 04:04 UT with a transit speed of 492 km/s calculated by DBM running at Hvar Observatory, Facuty of Geodesy.
The risk level for a CME geomagnetic storm is HIGH following the observation of a CME that erupted at 18:36 on 2014-01-07 UTC. The risk level results from the following forecasted parameters: 1) occurrence probability: POSSIBLE 2) storm level: SEVERE

Lead Time: 28.60 hour(s)
Difference: -8.53 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Andy Devos (SIDC) on 2014-01-08T14:56Z

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